There's a constant spotlight on the Dallas Cowboys and this summer has been no different as we head into 2024. But with Week 1 approaching, it's a great time to look at some Cowboys win total odds for the upcoming season.
Will stalled contract talks with Dak Prescott hold them back, or will the Cowboys rise to the top of the NFC East like they did in 2023?
Dallas' initial win total was set at 9.5, and currently the juice is shaded toward the over (-145) at BetMGM (Under is +120). If you use an alternate total of 8.5, the over is -250 and the under is +190.
According to the betting odds, the Cowboys have a 59% implied chance of exceeding 9.5 wins once they get back on the gridiron for the NFL regular season.
Dallas is in an interesting spot as a franchise. They have a quarterback widely regarded as one of the 10 best in the league, a perennial Defensive Player of the Year candidate, and a reigning First Team All-Pro receiver.
That said, only one of those players have the long-term contracts they desire, and the supporting cast around them is arguably the worst in years.
The Cowboys also lost defensive coordinator Dan Quinn but the jury is still out on head coach Mike McCarthy. They’re clearly better than two-thirds of the division but aren’t as highly favored as the Philadelphia Eagles, who have the fifth-best Super Bowl odds in the NFL.
2024 Dallas Cowboys win total predictions: How many wins can America's Team rack up?
The main point of emphasis for this team will always be Prescott, Micah Parsons and CeeDee Lamb in some order. But when looking beyond the stars, questions remain.Â
Dallas lost starting center Tyler Biadasz and has a broken-down version of Ezekiel Elliott in the backfield, meaning their running game could take a step backward. They also depend heavily on their defense to manufacture points off turnovers, which is an inconsistent way of winning games.Â
The Cowboys have a fairly tough schedule that includes Week 1 at the Browns, Week 6 against the Lions, Week 8 at the 49ers, two against the Eagles, Week 11 against the Texans and Week 14 against the Bengals. Even if they take care of business against their lesser opponents, they will need to win some of these games to cash an over ticket.Â
From a betting perspective, this team should go over .500, which makes an c 8.5 (-250) relatively safe, despite the fact that an over 9.5 (-145) or 10.5 (+150) has more value. If you're not as bullish on the Cowboys going into this season, an under 9.5 (-120) or under 10.5 (-180) are the two likeliest options.Â
There are legitimate questions about the chemistry in Dallas, where everybody seemingly wants a new deal. As we know, CeeDee Lamb got paid with a four-year, $136M contract that includes $100M guaranteed. Jerry Jones appears to be playing hardball with Prescott, who could very well be in his final year with the team. How will this impact the group (if at all) is anyone's guess.Â
Once we take downgraded roster leads us to believe it's very possible this group struggles to find double-digit wins after posting 12+ in every year since 2020.
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Grant is a Virginia-based writer for Catena Media who graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 with a degree in sports media & analytics. He has contributed to well-known publications such as Forbes, and appeared on the VSiN TV network.
