The Week 3 slate closes with a pair of games on Monday Night Football:
Bills vs. Jaguars anytime touchdown picks: Josh Allen props & more
Allen only carried the ball twice for 2 yards in his last game against the Dolphins, though he ran nine times for 39 yards and two touchdowns the week before. He will also be rested and rejuvenated after enjoying 11 days of rest between Thursday Night Football in Week 2 and Monday Night Football in Week 3.
The Bills’ lack of downfield weapons combined with a change at offensive coordinator last year has made them a run-oriented team. Allen is never hesitant to lay his body on the line and gets to go against a defense that surrendered a rushing touchdown in both of its games.
Trevor Lawrence’s most effective target has been Brian Thomas Jr., a rookie wide receiver and first-round pick out of LSU. The rook only caught two passes but ripped off 94 yards against the Browns last week and caught four balls for 47 yards and a touchdown in the opener against the Dolphins.
The Jags have struggled to get into the end zone and rank 29th in EPA per rush attempt. It’s time for Trevor Lawrence to live up to his contract, and the 6-foot-4 WR is an omnipresent threat any time Jacksonville gets near the end zone.
Cook was nothing short of sensational last week, scoring three total touchdowns on just 12 touches (11 carries, one reception). His quick burst is the perfect complement to Allen’s physicality and out-of-the-pocket improvisation.Â
The Jaguars have done a nice job defending the run thus far, holding opponents to just 3.8 yards per carry (seventh in the NFL). Buffalo doesn’t have many problems moving the ball, however, and it won’t take much for Cook to barrel into the end zone if he can get inside the 10-yard line.Â
Bengals vs. Commanders anytime touchdown picks: Josh Allen props & more
There’s no doubt that Chase doesn’t look like his usual self as he only has 10 receptions for 97 yards and hasn’t scored in two games. But it’s not every day that one of the league’s best receivers gets to go up against a defense with a struggling secondary.
The Commanders are the only team in the NFL that has allowed six passing touchdowns, which is why it’s no surprise they rank 32nd in defensive EPA per pass play. Joe Burrow looked extremely sharp in his last game and will likely want to get his favorite target going after a 0-2 start to the year.
Robinson had a career day in Week 2 as he ran 17 times for 133 yards, though he and the entire team failed to find the end zone a single time. Still, it’s impressive that Washington produced seven scoring drives in one game, and Robinson Jr. barrelled into the end zone in a Week 1 loss against the Buccaneers.
The Commanders are committed to getting the third-year back involved both through the air and on the ground. The offense might not be that explosive through the air, but they’ve been able to sustain drives and move down the field, and that’s enough to warrant faith in Robinson Jr cracking the pylons.
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Brian Sausa is a New York-based content creator for Catena Media with an extensive betting history and several years of iGaming industry experience. A journalism graduate with a ranging sports background, Brian’s previous employment includes the flagship sites for multiple professional leagues including the MLB and NHL.
