Texans vs. Ravens odds, picks, props and same-game parlays for NFL Divisional Round

Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens odds and picks lean toward Baltimore, but Houston’s performance in the Wild Card round is worth noting. Saturday’s matchup features what many expect will be the league’s Offensive Rookie of the Year (C.J. Stroud) and MVP (Lamar Jackson).

We’ll dive more into this intriguing matchup and our favorite Texans vs. Ravens odds, picks, props and same-game parlays.

2024 NFL Divisional Round playoff odds: Texans vs. Ravens moneyline, spread, total and pick

There are a couple of primary reasons we like the Texans to put up a more respectable effort than the 9.5-point spread suggests they will.

Reason number one focuses on the Ravens coming off of a bye week. And it’s two weeks in the case of star quarterback Lamar Jackson, who sat out the finale against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

It’s a mere one-game sample, but the last time Jackson went into the postseason with this much rest (perhaps rust is more appropriate), the Ravens lost as 10-point home favorites. It’s reasonable to expect Jackson and Harbaugh to have a better plan this time around, but that doesn’t mean there won’t be a bit of a ramp-up period early in the contest.

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If you’re new to betting, it’s worth noting you can wager on first-half spreads. The Texans are getting between 5.5 and 6.5 points for the first half.

Secondly, and somewhat related, is the rhythm and momentum the Texans will have heading into Baltimore.

They dismantled the Cleveland Browns, carving their stout defense and smothering their resurgent Joe Flacco-led attack. It’s unlikely they do the same to a superior Ravens outfit, but they’re playing at a high level, winning and covering five of seven, including last week’s Wild Card game. They’re bringing enough to the matchup to provide the Ravens with some relative problems.

Pick: Texans +9.5 (-110 or better)

2024 NFL Divisional Round player props: Texans vs. Ravens prop bets

Texans vs. Ravens player props: Lamar Jackson Anytime TD (+105 or better)

Jackson hasn’t scored a rushing touchdown since Week 7 vs. the Detroit Lions, but we like him finding the paint with his legs nonetheless. There are instances where stats and trends can take a backseat in one’s betting analysis. That’s what we’re doing here. He may not have been a prolific touchdown scorer this season with his legs, but in a win-or-go-home scenario, one can expect the Ravens to play with a full deck.

Texans vs. Ravens prop picks: C.J. Stroud Over 34.5 pass attempts (-123 or better)

We like the Texans to maintain momentum and play well on the road, even if they ultimately lose. Piggybacking on the game pick – Texans +9.5 – it’s reasonable to anticipate the Texans leaning on Stroud to keep them within an arm’s reach throughout Saturday’s contest.

He surpassed 34.5 pass attempts in seven contests this season, four of those resulting in losses. That includes 44 pass attempts in the Texans’ Week 1 loss to the Ravens. Bettors who are interested in a bit more profit potential can find the number at 35.5 with longer odds. He reached 36 pass attempts six times.

Texans vs. Ravens same-game parlay: Combine Lamar Jackson, C.J. Stroud, top wide receivers for long-shot SGP wager (+731 or better)

• Lamar Jackson Over 227.5 passing yards
• C.J. Stroud 250+ passing yards (alternate)
• Zay Flowers Over 4.5 receptions
• Nico Collins Over 80+ receiving yards (alternate)

Jackson passed for 228 yards or more in seven contests overall, and three of his last four. In a game in which the Texans have a chance to be more competitive than expected, Jackson will be asked to perform at a high level.

Stroud, Jackson’s counterpart, has an attractive alternate passing line of 250-plus passing yards. The top sportsbooks allow bettors to build same-game parlays with alternate lines. It’s one of the top features of online betting apps. Stroud reached this mark 10 times in 2023, including in seven of his last nine.

In spite of the odds favoring Baltimore, we envision another quality showing from Stroud, at least in the passing yardage department. After all, if the Texans can manage to keep the score relatively close, it’s unlikely to be the result of a ground-heavy attack.

Jackson and Stroud enjoying quality performances includes their top wide receivers, Zay Flowers and Nico Collins, respectively, enjoying quality performances.

Flowers led the Ravens in targets, drawing 22.6% of the team’s looks and seeing double-digit chances on five occasions. He also reeled in at least five catches on nine instances. He only averaged 11.1 yards per catch, so we’re banking on the Ravens using him in short and intermediate routes, increasing the likelihood of him racking up at least five receptions.

Collins, conversely, is more reliant on downfield connections. Still, in spite of his 16.2 YPC, he owns a stellar 74.1 percent catch rate including playoffs. Passing against the Ravens is no walk in the park, and it may be the case Collins needs volume to offset a drop in efficiency. We’re okay banking on Collins handling a heavy enough target load to reach 80 receiving yards.

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